Bitcoin at Critical Support: What’s Next and Potential Trade Scenarios

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2 min read

Summary

Bitcoin at Critical Support: What’s Next and Potential Trade Scenarios

Introduction

The speaker warns that Bitcoin is perched on a crucial support level this Sunday, around $90,000. He claims the next price move could happen sooner than many expect and that understanding the daily chart pattern is key to anticipating the direction.

Current Trade Position

  • The presenter’s existing Bitcoin trade is still open.
  • Approximately 80% of the $19 million profit has already been taken, leaving about $4 million still in the position.
  • Entry points mentioned: $81,814 and $198,000 (likely a typo; intended $81,800).

Chart Pattern Analysis

  • On the daily chart, a “picture‑perfect” pattern has formed:
  • Four touches of a horizontal resistance line near $94,000.
  • Five to six touches of an ascending support line around $90,000.
  • Repeated testing of support weakens it, increasing the chance of a breakdown.
  • Conversely, a break above the resistance could trigger a bullish rally.

Immediate Outlook

  • Support scenario (more likely, ~2/3 probability):
  • A daily candle closing below $90,000 would signal a breakdown.
  • Expected capitulation could push Bitcoin below the recent low of $82,000.
  • If $82,000 is breached, the speaker plans to open a new $100 million trade, details to be shared in a future video.
  • Resistance scenario (less likely, ~1/3 probability):
  • A break above the $94,000 horizontal resistance.
  • Target price in this case: around $107,000.

Action Plan & Community Engagement

  • The presenter asks viewers to share their short‑term expectations (breakdown vs. breakout) in the comments.
  • He promises to respond to comments and provide further analysis.
  • A side note promotes his health channel, where he exposes whey‑protein fraud and offers a guide to choosing safe protein powders.

Timeline

  • The decisive daily candle could close today (Sunday) or within the next couple of days.
  • A bearish breakout is expected to happen first; a bullish breakout is considered possible but less probable.

Takeaway for Traders

  • Monitor the $90,000 support level closely.
  • A close below this level may present a buying opportunity for a large‑scale trade.
  • A close above $94,000 could open a path toward $107,000, but traders should treat it as a lower‑probability event.

Bitcoin is teetering on a key $90,000 support; a daily close below this level likely triggers a bearish move toward $82,000 (and possibly lower), while a break above $94,000 could launch a rally to $107,000. Traders should watch the next daily candle closely to decide which scenario will unfold.