Bitcoin at Critical Support: What’s Next and Potential Trade Scenarios
Summary
Bitcoin at Critical Support: What’s Next and Potential Trade Scenarios
Introduction
The speaker warns that Bitcoin is perched on a crucial support level this Sunday, around $90,000. He claims the next price move could happen sooner than many expect and that understanding the daily chart pattern is key to anticipating the direction.
Current Trade Position
- The presenter’s existing Bitcoin trade is still open.
- Approximately 80% of the $19 million profit has already been taken, leaving about $4 million still in the position.
- Entry points mentioned: $81,814 and $198,000 (likely a typo; intended $81,800).
Chart Pattern Analysis
- On the daily chart, a “picture‑perfect” pattern has formed:
- Four touches of a horizontal resistance line near $94,000.
- Five to six touches of an ascending support line around $90,000.
- Repeated testing of support weakens it, increasing the chance of a breakdown.
- Conversely, a break above the resistance could trigger a bullish rally.
Immediate Outlook
- Support scenario (more likely, ~2/3 probability):
- A daily candle closing below $90,000 would signal a breakdown.
- Expected capitulation could push Bitcoin below the recent low of $82,000.
- If $82,000 is breached, the speaker plans to open a new $100 million trade, details to be shared in a future video.
- Resistance scenario (less likely, ~1/3 probability):
- A break above the $94,000 horizontal resistance.
- Target price in this case: around $107,000.
Action Plan & Community Engagement
- The presenter asks viewers to share their short‑term expectations (breakdown vs. breakout) in the comments.
- He promises to respond to comments and provide further analysis.
- A side note promotes his health channel, where he exposes whey‑protein fraud and offers a guide to choosing safe protein powders.
Timeline
- The decisive daily candle could close today (Sunday) or within the next couple of days.
- A bearish breakout is expected to happen first; a bullish breakout is considered possible but less probable.
Takeaway for Traders
- Monitor the $90,000 support level closely.
- A close below this level may present a buying opportunity for a large‑scale trade.
- A close above $94,000 could open a path toward $107,000, but traders should treat it as a lower‑probability event.
Bitcoin is teetering on a key $90,000 support; a daily close below this level likely triggers a bearish move toward $82,000 (and possibly lower), while a break above $94,000 could launch a rally to $107,000. Traders should watch the next daily candle closely to decide which scenario will unfold.